Attached
is the latest gulf stream routing. Must admit, it's a bit sketchy
because half of the reliable resources out there are tied up with the government
shutdown. I know they are collecting data, just not posting it so this data is 1 week old from 9/30.
This data still presents a similar picture to prior data. The big decision is to run the
coast and find where to cross the stream. There appears to be a weak, but nice
counter current that takes us right to the island once we get to the East
side of GS. The daring route continues to take us well south to
South Carolina and then bopping across in a easterly meander which
would actually be fair for us and very fast (if it is still there),
then once the GS influence weakens we alter course south to the lay line.
The other route is more conservative and the classic route of crossing the stream
further north keeping it just aft of the beam and stay on that until we get out
of it's clutch. Major thing with that route is not to go too far east, otherwise
there is an eddy that is against us for a 100 miles or so.
Right now we're betting on the more coastal route/cross GS further south
and hopefully the government will start posting their data again soon and we can make a more informed decision.
Regarding the weather, we have had a series of beautiful Highs hanging over the
mid-Atlantic. The two Mexican and TS Karen events were odd both being a Gulf
of Mexico albeit weak events. By now, everything should be east
coast events and the Gulf should essentially be done.
Good thing we have Commanders Weather as a back-up although they also depend on
Navy/NOAA data, they have other resources that we don't have so we would
definitely rely on their opinion in light of current political events.
Need to watch the weather and Atlantic tropical activity closely from here on in. Things should begin to stabilize soon and we can focus on our weather window and route south.
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